2026-07-08

Italy’s wine industry is pressing for urgent supply controls after exports, domestic consumption and prices all fell while cellar stocks climbed to their highest level since 2022, according to figures presented in Rome by Unione Italiana Vini, the country’s main wine trade group.
At the group’s assembly at the National Council for Economics and Labor, or Cnel, industry leaders and government officials described a sector under pressure from weaker global demand, trade tensions, a softer U.S. market and a growing shift toward health-conscious drinking habits. The message from producers was that the downturn is no longer a short-term disruption but a structural change that requires cuts in production potential and a new export strategy.
Uiv said that by May 2026, Italian wine and must stocks in cellars had risen above 53 million hectoliters, up 7.3% from May 2025. That volume is roughly equal to an entire harvest sitting unsold. The buildup came despite three relatively light harvests from 2023 through 2025, showing how hard it has become to move product in Italy and abroad.
The group said domestic sales through large-scale retail channels fell 2% in the January-to-May period from a year earlier. Export performance also weakened. In the first quarter of 2026, Italian wine exports fell 4% by volume and 8.3% by value, according to Uiv. In the first four months of the year, export value was down another 15.4%, following a 9.2% decline at the close of last year.
Those conditions are pushing more wineries to downgrade wines into lower categories that are easier to sell. In Italy’s classification system, that can mean moving a wine from Docg to Doc, from Doc to Igt, or from Igt to ordinary table wine. Uiv estimated that the loss in value tied to those downgrades reached €364 million for Dop wines, equal to 10%, and €152 million for Igp wines, equal to 14%, for a total reduction of €516 million, or 11%.
Paolo Castelletti, Uiv’s secretary general, said wineries are shifting inventories toward common wine as a damage-control strategy, but one that also lowers the sector’s value base. Bulk wine prices reflected that trend in the first five months of the year. Uiv said prices fell 6% for Dop wines, 7% for Igp wines and 14.4% for common wines, which absorbed 75% of all downgrades and averaged €0.54 per liter.
Lamberto Frescobaldi, Uiv’s president, said even a harvest of 44 million hectoliters is no longer sustainable under current market conditions. He called for what he described as courageous decisions, including unpopular ones, arguing that overproduction is eroding value and profitability across the supply chain.
Among the measures proposed by Uiv are a two-year halt to new vineyard planting authorizations, effectively reducing them to 0%, tighter traceability rules and better alignment between vineyard records and Italy’s agricultural information system, lower yields including for Dop and Igp wines, and stronger controls on land used for table grapes to avoid market distortions. The organization rejected the idea of paying growers to uproot vineyards with European Ocm funds, saying those resources should remain focused on investment, competitiveness, innovation and promotion.
The debate matters beyond wine because prolonged price weakness in one of Europe’s largest beverage categories can affect distributors, importers, retailers and hospitality operators that depend on premium positioning and stable margins across alcoholic drinks.
Frescobaldi said Italy needs both immediate action and a five- to ten-year strategy built on two pillars: adapting production to changing domestic and international demand, and strengthening the competitiveness of Italian wine in global markets.
The United States remains central to that challenge. Industry speakers described it as an indispensable but troubled partner for Italian wine. Castelletti said exports to the U.S. fell 17% in value from April 2025 through March 2026, creating a gap of about €340 million. He said tariffs were not the only problem but had become the final blow in a market already weakened by dollar depreciation and five straight years of declining wine consumption.
Federico Petroni, head of Americas analysis at Limes and academic coordinator at its school of geopolitics, told the assembly that changes in the U.S. go beyond one administration or one age group. He said Italian producers now face an America whose consumer base is changing generationally, ethnically and geographically, requiring new language and new tools if they want to reach future drinkers.
On trade policy, Alfredo Conte, deputy director general for Europe and director for international trade policy at Italy’s Foreign Ministry, said uncertainty around U.S. tariffs concerns form more than substance. Referring to the temporary tariff regime introduced under Section 122 of the Trade Act, he said that after July 24 measures of similar value would most likely remain in place and would not exceed 15%.
Matteo Zoppas, president of Ita-Italian Trade Agency, said the government was increasing resources for promotion with special attention to wine producers and their presence in the United States. He pointed to support for Vinitaly USA and inbound buyer programs as part of that effort.
Industry representatives also argued that Italy should reduce its exposure to geopolitical and regulatory risks by relying more on Europe’s internal market. Uiv described the European Union as a safer harbor for demand. It said exports of Italian wine within the E.U. rose 31% over the past six years, double the pace seen outside the bloc. But speakers also warned that technical barriers, differing national interpretations of rules and overregulation continue to fragment what should be a single market.
Carlo Alberto Carnevale Maffè, a strategy professor at SDA Bocconi School of Management, said incomplete integration inside Europe imposes hidden costs on companies through duplicate compliance requirements, unharmonized rules and divergent tax systems. In agrifood alone, he said, that lack of integration is worth about €57 billion.
Italy’s agriculture minister, Francesco Lollobrigida, acknowledged the severity of the moment but said it was not the first crisis faced by the sector nor the worst. He argued that with stronger coordination among companies, trade bodies and institutions, broader work in alternative markets and a shift in European agricultural policy toward development rather than income support alone, Italian wine could come through this period still strong even if damaged.
Lollobrigida also said the government was preparing a second institutional advertising campaign supporting wine culture after earlier initiatives centered on responsible consumption. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni sent a message to the assembly describing wine as an essential part of Italy’s cultural heritage and saying promotion remains central to government strategy for agrifood exports and tourism linked to wine regions.
The backdrop to those statements is a sharp mismatch between supply and demand. Uiv noted that Italy remains the world’s largest wine producer and the only major producing country to have expanded vineyard area over the past five years even as global trade contracts and consumers become more selective.
For producers gathered in Rome, that imbalance has become harder to ignore. Their warning was that international turbulence should not be used as an excuse to postpone decisions about structural weaknesses at home when inventories remain high, demand is slowing and too much wine is chasing too few buyers.