2024-08-13
The global wine market experienced a notable downturn in the 12-month period ending in March 2024, marked by significant reductions in both volume and value. According to customs data from various countries, worldwide wine exports fell by 5.4% in volume, reaching 9.883 billion liters, while the value dropped by 6.4%, totaling $38.791 billion. This decrease has slightly lowered the average price to $3.92 per liter, down by four cents from the previous year.
The decline in global wine trade comes against a backdrop of economic uncertainty, driven by factors such as inflation, political tensions, and ongoing conflicts. These challenges have impacted consumer behavior and market dynamics, making it essential to scrutinize the performance of the major wine-exporting countries. The top eleven exporters, who together account for over 86% of global wine trade, saw reductions in both value and volume. However, some countries have shown signs of recovery compared to previous months. Six of these nations managed to increase their average prices, while the rankings in terms of export volume remained unchanged from the previous year. Notably, Australia surpassed New Zealand in terms of value, climbing to the fifth position.
Data corresponding to the turnover of the last 12 months. Updated as of March 2024.
France continues to dominate the global wine market in terms of value, with exports amounting to $12.812 billion. However, it lost some ground in volume, exporting 1.284 billion liters, which is 93 million liters less than the previous year. Despite this decline, France remains the undisputed leader in the wine trade, particularly in high-value markets.
Italy, the second-largest exporter by value, recorded $8.546 billion in sales. Despite a slight reduction of 14.5 million liters, Italy maintained its position as the leading exporter by volume, shipping 2.1516 billion liters. Spain followed closely behind, exporting 2.125 billion liters, a decrease of 36 million liters from the previous year. In terms of value, Spain registered $3.257 billion, down 4.3% year-on-year.
The market dynamics were more challenging for countries outside Europe, particularly those in the New World. Chile, Australia, New Zealand, the United States, and Argentina all experienced double-digit declines in export value. South Africa also recorded a significant drop. In terms of volume, Chile faced the steepest decline, with a reduction of 99 million liters, followed by South Africa, New Zealand, the United States, and Argentina, all of which saw notable decreases. However, Australia managed to keep its volume decline below the average, albeit at a significantly lower average price.
Chile, despite losing market share, retained its position as the fourth-largest wine exporter globally, with nearly 700 million liters and $1.548 billion in value. Australia's performance, while marked by a sharp decline in value, allowed it to surpass New Zealand and secure the fifth spot in the ranking. The United States came close to overtaking New Zealand in terms of value, highlighting the intense competition among the New World wine producers.
Germany, with $1.145 billion in exports, also faced challenges but managed to remain among the top wine exporters, completing the list of countries exceeding $1 billion in export value. Portugal ranked ninth, with Argentina and South Africa closing the list, each slightly below $643 million in value.
The European wine producers demonstrated a relative resilience compared to their New World counterparts, largely due to their established markets and premium product positioning. France, Italy, and Spain, in particular, were able to maintain their leading positions despite the overall decline in global trade. Their ability to command higher prices for their wines played a crucial role in mitigating the impact of reduced volumes.
However, the broader trend indicates that even these traditional wine powerhouses are not immune to the economic pressures affecting the global market. The slight reductions in volume and value across these key players reflect the ongoing challenges in the wine industry, exacerbated by global events that have disrupted trade flows and consumer spending patterns.
As the global wine market navigates this period of uncertainty, the focus for many producers will likely shift towards strengthening their positions in existing markets while exploring new opportunities for growth. The ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, economic conditions, and geopolitical developments will be critical for maintaining competitiveness in this highly volatile environment.
Moreover, the ongoing shifts in global trade dynamics, particularly the challenges faced by New World producers, suggest that the wine industry may continue to see fluctuations in both volume and value in the near term. Strategic investments in marketing, innovation, and sustainability could provide a pathway for recovery and growth, helping producers to weather the current storm and emerge stronger in the future.
In conclusion, the global wine trade is experiencing a period of contraction, driven by a complex interplay of economic and geopolitical factors. While European producers have shown relative resilience, the broader market trends point to a challenging road ahead for the industry as a whole. As producers and exporters navigate these uncertain times, their ability to adapt and innovate will determine their success in the evolving global marketplace.
Founded in 2007, Vinetur® is a registered trademark of VGSC S.L. with a long history in the wine industry.
VGSC, S.L. with VAT number B70255591 is a spanish company legally registered in the Commercial Register of the city of Santiago de Compostela, with registration number: Bulletin 181, Reference 356049 in Volume 13, Page 107, Section 6, Sheet 45028, Entry 2.
Email: [email protected]
Headquarters and offices located in Vilagarcia de Arousa, Spain.