Developing Markets to Propel Alcohol Industry Growth Over Next Five Years

2025-02-24

India, China, and the US lead the trend, with emerging markets showing promise due to younger populations and rising incomes.

Developing markets are expected to drive significant growth for alcohol brands over the next five years, according to a report by IWSR. High-population countries like India, China, and the US are leading this trend, with Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Vietnam, and Nigeria also showing promise. Emily Neill, IWSR's chief operating officer, noted that while mature markets may see limited growth, developing regions offer substantial opportunities. Countries with younger populations, increasing disposable incomes, and expanding middle classes are poised for the most significant gains.

India is highlighted as a key market with immense growth potential. Although its alcohol market is less developed compared to mature nations, regulatory changes in some states are becoming more favorable. This shift, combined with population growth, is expected to drive significant value increases. In the first half of 2024, India's beverage alcohol volumes rose by 4%, fueled by demand for premium spirits, ready-to-drink beverages, and Indian single malts.

Southeast Asia is also experiencing growth, with Vietnam and the Philippines seeing strong demand for premium beer and spirits. In Africa, South Africa's beer, cider, and ready-to-drink categories showed robust volume gains in early 2024. In Latin America, Mexico and Brazil are witnessing a surge in ready-to-drink and premium beer consumption, driven by changing social norms and younger consumers. These trends highlight the dynamic nature of developing markets in shaping the future of the global alcohol industry.